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Generating and comparing models (SPSS Modeler)

Generating and comparing models

  1. Attach an Auto Classifier node, open its BUILD OPTIONS properties, and select Overall accuracy as the metric used to rank models.
  2. Set the Number of models to use to 3. This means that the three best models will be built when you run the node.
    Figure 1. Auto Classifier node, build options
    Auto Classifier node, build options

    Under the EXPERT options, you can choose from many different modeling algorithms.

  3. Deselect the Discriminant and SVM model types. (These models take longer to train on this data, so deselecting them will speed up the example. If you don't mind waiting, feel free to leave them selected.)

    Because you set Number of models to use to 3 under BUILD OPTIONS, the node will calculate the accuracy of the remaining algorithms and generate a single model nugget containing the three most accurate.

    Figure 2. Auto Classifier node, expert options
    Auto Classifier node, expert options
  4. Under the ENSEMBLE options, select Confidence-weighted voting for the ensemble method. This determines how a single aggregated score is produced for each record.

    With simple voting, if two out of three models predict yes, then yes wins by a vote of 2 to 1. In the case of confidence-weighted voting, the votes are weighted based on the confidence value for each prediction. Thus, if one model predicts no with a higher confidence than the two yes predictions combined, then no wins.

    Figure 3. Auto Classifier node, ensemble options
    Auto Classifier node, ensemble options
  5. Run the flow. After a few minutes, the generated model nugget is built and placed on the canvas, and results are added to the Outputs panel. You can view the model nugget, or save or deploy it in a number of other ways.
  6. Hover over the resulting model nugget, then click the overflow menu and select View Model. You'll see details about each of the models created during the run. (In a real situation, in which hundreds of models may be created on a large dataset, this could take many hours.)

    If you want to explore any of the individual models further, you can click their links in the Estimator column to drill down and browse the individual model results.

    Figure 4. Auto Classifier results
    Auto Classifier results

    By default, models are sorted based on overall accuracy, because this was the measure you selected in the Auto Classifier node properties. The XGBoost Tree model ranks best by this measure, but the C5.0 and C&RT models are nearly as accurate.

    Based on these results, you decide to use all three of these most accurate models. By combining predictions from multiple models, limitations in individual models may be avoided, resulting in a higher overall accuracy.

  7. In the USE column, select the three models. Return to the flow.
  8. Attach an Analysis output node after the model nugget. Hover over the Analysis node and click the Run icon to run the flow again.
    Figure 5. Auto Classifier example flow
    Auto Classifier example flow

    The aggregated score generated by the ensembled model is shown in a field named $XF-response. When measured against the training data, the predicted value matches the actual response (as recorded in the original response field) with an overall accuracy of 92.77%. While not quite as accurate as the best of the three individual models in this case (92.82% for C5.0), the difference is too small to be meaningful. In general terms, an ensembled model will typically be more likely to perform well when applied to datasets other than the training data.

    Figure 6. Analysis of the three ensembled models
    Analysis of the three ensembled models
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